Mar 10 2026

Near‑Term Implications of the US, Israel–Iran Conflict on the Greek Energy Market

The escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran are set to influence Greece’s energy landscape, particularly LNG and natural gas—areas where Greece plays a growing regional role.
  • Heightened LNG Volatility 
    Regional conflict raises the probability of disrupted Eastern Mediterranean gas flows, potentially reducing Egyptian LNG exports and tightening supply. This could quickly amplify LNG price volatility affecting Greek short‑term procurement.
  • Increased Reliance on LNG Imports
    With the US already supplying over 81% of Greece’s LNG in early 2025, Greece’s dependence on flexible Atlantic LNG is likely to deepen as pipeline uncertainty grows in the broader region.
  • System Stress & Higher Gas‑Power Prices 
    Strong domestic power demand means any LNG tightness immediately impacts gas and electricity prices. Greece has previously had to secure last‑minute spot cargoes to maintain system stability during similar stress periods.
  • Greece’s Strategic Role Strengthens 
    Despite challenges, Greece’s expanding LNG infrastructure and its new gas trading platform enhance regional market liquidity and security—solidifying Greece as a Southeast European energy hub.
About the author

Mr Stergios Zacharakis

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All individuals involved in the Greek Energy Forum are serving under their personal capacity. The analysis and opinions they express through the Forum are their own and do not reflect the view of their respective employers.
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